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Asian Tribune is published by World Institute For Asian Studies|Powered by WIAS Vol. 11 No. 295               

Indo-US-Israeli grand design to truncate Pakistan

By Asif Haroon Raja

Indo-US-Israeli objectives of denuclearisation, balkanisation and secularisation of Pakistan and turning it into a vassal state of India will be achieved preferably through ongoing covert operations alone supplemented by infamous Kerry-Lugar bill. Already lot of progress has been achieved by our adversaries in destabilising Pakistan.

In case they fail to get hold of our nuclear assets and Pakistan refuses to accept pre-eminence of India, Indian armed forces will then be asked to operationalise its Cold Start doctrine by launching limited attacks, or combination of limited attacks and all out Indo-Pak war depending upon the success achieved in battle of frontiers and neutralisation of our nukes. The aim would be cut Pakistan into small quasi states of Balochistan, Sindhudesh, Jinnahpur, Pashtunistan, Punjabistan and Balwaristan. Parameters of the plan conceived in late 2001 to truncate Pakistan and duly modified subsequently were as under:

• Karachi Port to be converted into American naval base wherefrom it could overlook Iran, Afghanistan, China and Central Asia and also gain full monopoly over Indian Ocean. In case of refusal by Pakistan to allow this facility, the MQM to attain this objective by first neutralising all its political opponents at grass roots level and at regional level and gain complete political ascendancy in urban Sindh. President Musharraf to provide requisite support by decimating MQM Haqiqui and looking the other way to all its high handed tactics.

• Convert Afghanistan into a permanent military base and intelligence centre of six agencies to plan, coordinate and launch sustained covert operations against Pakistan till the achievement of laid down objectives.

• Stir up fissiparous tendencies in smaller provinces and foment hatred against Punjab and army.

• Cultivate Bugtis, Marris and Mengals and others aspiring for Baloch rights and foment unrest in Balochistan. Promise them independent Balochistan with Gwadar as its free port and control over energy resources. Map of independent Balochistan has been floated. Provide all kinds of war munitions to the rebels and establish Farari camps making best use of four air bases in Balochistan under occupation of US forces since October 2001 and the adjoining soil of Afghanistan. Espouse the cause of Baloch, denounce military operation against them and assure insurgents of direct military support once the insurgency in Balochistan reaches high intensity stage.

• Create fake Taliban in FATA, equip and fund them to be able to spread unrest in FATA and NWFP and defame Pakistan by pasting charges of religious extremism and terrorism. Help in establishing Tehrik-e-Taliban under Baitullah Mehsud and in expanding its influence in FATA, NWFP and poverty stricken South Punjab on the false pretext of introducing Sharia to win public support.

• Lower the image and credibility of the army by pushing it into FATA and by launching a well orchestrated media campaign. Likewise, the ISI to be brought in firing line to weaken Pakistan’s first line defence.

• Oust religious and other conservative political parties in 2008 general elections and bring in liberal parties in power. Put the noose of NRO around the necks of leadership and make them subservient to wishes of Washington.

• ANP under Asfandyar Wali, a traditional pro-Indian party, to help in working towards creation of Pakhtunkhwa comprising Pashtun regions of Pakistan and Afghanistan. A map to this effect was recently on display on billboards in the province.

• Enfeeble state institutions and turn legislature into a rubber stamp under a powerful president.

• Lock up two to three Corps in northwest, exhaust and demoralise counter insurgent forces and get them attuned to fighting low intensity war. Likewise pin down one Corps in Balochistan dealing with Baloch insurgency; thus reduce strategic options of Pak army in central and southern Punjab and in the desert belt. Create conditions wherein troops fighting counter insurgency are unable to move back to confront Indian threat.

• Malign Pakistan’s nuclear program and magnify threat of religious extremism and theft of nuclear bombs by terrorists, forcing Pakistan to either roll it up or hand it over to USA.

• Create an atmosphere of gloom and doom through Jewish controlled electronic and print media and paid writers and intellectuals within Pakistan that Pakistan is falling apart.

• Create economic crisis and bring it to the brink of default to exert maximum pressure on the NRO cleansed leadership and make it agree to Indo-US demands.

• Speed up building dams on all rivers flowing into Pakistan with a view to turn Punjab agricultural lands barren.

• Once the internal situation becomes murky and desired imbalance is induced in system of forces, India to activate eastern front by staging a drama of terrorism and blaming Pakistan as it had done in December 2001. Mumbai drama in November 2008 was also an act in that direction but it backfired.

• India to move troops to the border under the garb of winter exercises in November 2009 or playing up threat from Pakistan as it has done several times. Heat up LoC in Kashmir on a false pretext and capture an important post to provoke Pakistan to react. Making it into an excuse, launch limited attacks under the concept of Cold Start doctrine all along the border against at least 14-15 shallow objectives but each one threatening sensitive spaces in depth thereby forcing Pakistan lacking in strategic depth to fight for every inch of the territory and even moving its strategic reserves well forward.

• Once bulk of our forces are embroiled in battle of frontiers and our two strategic reserves locked up in corridors away from their areas of interest, strike formations to be brought into action for the decisive action.

• Prior to launching main offensive, conduct extensive air operations and also quarantine Pakistan by affecting sea-blockade in Indian Ocean.

• After achieving air supremacy in the south, launch main effort in the desert sector from Shahgarh base of operation to cut main GT Road in Reti-Rahimyar Khan sector and establish bridgehead over Indus to breakout towards deeper objectives. De-link Sindh and then launch manoeuvre of exploitation to link up with rebel forces in Sui-Bugti and make rest of Pakistan landlocked.

• To create a dilemma for strategic reserves, launch secondary effort in area south of Sutlej in Marot-Fort Abbas area and two to three auxiliaries in other sectors together with two brigade size amphibious operations along our coastal belt.

• Isolate AJK for subsequent merger with IHK. Gilgit and Baltistan where Indian sponsored separatist movement is already in action to be grouped and made an independent state called Balwaristan.

• Afghanistan to also heat up western border to ensure that troops in FATA and in Balochistan are not withdrawn. Planned induction of 1,50000 Indian troops in Afghanistan to facilitate two directional threat. (India has established an airbase in Tajikistan which poses threat from the rear). In conjunction with ground offensive, para-dropping planned at strategic choke points.

• US imagery and satellites to provide intimate information about the location and move of strategic forces and also to jam strategic communications.

• US drones/RDF to destroy nuclear tipped missiles when on move towards battle locations to deprive Pakistan of its nuclear response.

• Impose military and economic sanctions on Pakistan (new restrictions on military aid penned in Kerry-Lugar Bill are a step in that direction).

• Quislings/militants to make rear area security and supply routes turbulent.

It appears that the final phase of the sinister plan has arrived as is evident from weak and subservient leadership installed in the centre, NWFP, Balochistan and Sindh; down turn in economy; heightened aggressiveness of USA in the form of placing extra troops along our western border and carrying out drone attacks frequently; declared intention of USA to concentrate entirely towards Afghanistan-Pakistan front; suspicious activities of Blackwater and possible arrival of marines in Islamabad, bulk of Pak army stuck in the quagmires of FATA, Swat and Balochistan with little possibility of extrication; suspension of composite dialogue and renewal of Indian hostility because of Mumbai incident. While situation in Balochistan is getting bad, sudden placement of Afghan Taliban Shura in Quetta and Osama in FATA is not without a sinister purpose.. Ongoing spate of suicide and terrorist attacks in cities is part of pre-conceived plan which impelled us to launch full scale operation in South Waziristan. Indo-US-western media continues to remain hostile and each act of terror prompt US official to blurt out a statement on safety of our nukes. Indo-US sponsored journalists and human rights activists have begun a defamatory campaign against troops operating in Swat and have come out with bizarre stories of extra judicial killings. Similar stories would be floated during or after Waziristan operation. US officials are still saying that some elements within ISI and army are supporting the Taliban. They are displeased with Maulvi Nazir and Gul Bahadur for adopting a neutral posture. Never ending allegations are hurled to keep Pakistan on the back foot till the accomplishment of their objectives.

In case, India restrains from applying military instrument, it will with the active assistance of US leadership again coerce Pakistan as it had done in 2002 and extract further concessions in the form of enfeebling ISI by placing it under ministry of interior; stamping out anti-Indo-US militant forces in Pakistan with active collaboration of Afghan-Indian-US-Nato forces; accepting Line of Control as permanent border in Kashmir; opening up nuclear program to IAEA inspection and placing it under its safeguard; allowing transit route to Indian merchandise goods to Afghanistan via Wagah and accepting India as a key country in Afghan affairs. Zardari led team would be too willing to meet these demands as in the case of Musharraf to prolong their stay in power. Musharraf had compromised Pakistan’s sovereignty; Zardari is all set to reduce Pakistan into a client state of USA and India to safeguard his and his companions’ personal interests as is evident from acceptance of highly damaging Kerry-Lugar Bill which is a recipe of capitulation.

- Asian Tribune -

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